Current:Home > StocksChina is edging toward deflation. Here's what that means. -FinanceAcademy
China is edging toward deflation. Here's what that means.
View
Date:2025-04-19 02:51:46
Whereas the U.S. continues to grapple with elevated prices, China is dealing with the opposite problem. In July, the world's second largest economy slipped into deflationary territory, with consumer prices declining 0.3% from a year earlier.
The decline in consumer prices sets China apart in more ways than one. In the post-COVID era, many nations, ranging from the U.K. to the U.S., have struggled with high inflation sparked by a combination of government spending and tight labor markets, which have sent their economies into overdrive.
China's deflation comes amid high unemployment for its younger workers, with more than 1 in 5 people between 16 to 24 unable to find a job. Meanwhile, the country's economic activity fizzled out earlier than expected following the lifting of virus controls, prompting Chinese leaders to try to shore up business and consumer activity.
- China's Xi Jinping meets "old friend" Henry Kissinger
- China accuses U.S. of turning Taiwan into "powder keg
- Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says China trip "has been successful" in forging relationships
"China's economic trajectory has been a focal point of global attention for decades, with its staggering growth and transformation capturing the world's imagination," noted Nigel Green of wealth management company deVere Group in a Wednesday research note. "But the recent emergence of serious deflationary pressures in the world's second-largest economy is triggering concerns that extend well beyond its borders."
Here's what to know about deflation.
What is deflation?
Deflation is a decline in overall price levels, and is the opposite of inflation, when prices rise over a period of time.
Deflation typically is linked with economic downturns, such as during the Great Depression in the U.S. during the 1930s, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Is deflation bad?
Deflation might seem like a good trend, at least on the face of it — after all, if prices decline, that means your paycheck will go farther because and, in theory at least, you'll have more purchasing power.
But deflation's impact can hit a nation's broader economy in a number of negative ways. For one, if people believe items will cost less next week or next month, they may hold off on buying products or services, strangling the lifeblood of an economy: consumer spending.
If that happens, companies could respond by cutting workers, trimming wages or making other adjustments.
Secondly, deflation is a negative for people or businesses with debt, such as mortgages or other loans. That's because even though prices are falling, the value of debt doesn't change, which puts pressure on consumers and businesses to cut spending in order to service their debt payments.
Why is China experiencing deflation?
China's deflation appears to be coming from two sectors — transportation and food, with pork prices down 26% year over year, Ben Emons, senior portfolio manager and head of fixed income at NewEdge Wealth, said in a Wednesday research note.
Stripping out volatile food and energy prices, China's consumer price index rose 0.8% in July, he noted. Overall, the deflation experienced last month in China is "mild" and could be quickly reversed, Emons added.
"China may be in deflation but that is less likely to persist as the Chinese government is set on hitting the GDP target of 5.5%," he wrote. "Moreover, pork-driven disinflation can be manipulated, which means that China CPI deflation is likely to reverse quickly."
Could deflation in China impact the U.S.?
It's possible, partly because the U.S. imports a lot of goods from China, according to economists and market experts.
"As its exports become cheaper due to deflation, other economies might face increased competition, forcing them to lower their own prices or risk losing market share," Green of deVere group noted.
He added, "Also, reduced demand for raw materials and commodities due to its economic slowdown is likely to lead to a decrease in global commodity prices."
- In:
- China
veryGood! (387)
Related
- Mets have visions of grandeur, and a dynasty, with Juan Soto as major catalyst
- Best-selling author Brendan DuBois indicted on child sex abuse images charges
- Trial opens of Serb gunmen accused of attacking Kosovo police
- Software company CEO dies 'doing what he loved' after falling at Zion National Park
- 'Vanderpump Rules' star DJ James Kennedy arrested on domestic violence charges
- JPMorgan net income falls as bank sets aside more money to cover potential bad loans
- The brutal story behind California’s new Native American genocide education law
- Knoxville neighborhood urged to evacuate after dynamite found at recycler; foul play not suspected
- Former Syrian official arrested in California who oversaw prison charged with torture
- Teen held in fatal 2023 crash into Las Vegas bicyclist captured on video found unfit for trial
Ranking
- The Daily Money: Spending more on holiday travel?
- EPA Settles Some Alabama Coal Ash Violations, but Larger Questions Linger
- Who still owns a landline phone? You might be surprised at what the data shows.
- Third-party candidate Cornel West loses bid to get on Pennsylvania’s presidential ballot
- Louvre will undergo expansion and restoration project, Macron says
- 12 rescued from former Colorado gold mine after fatality during tour
- ACC commissioner Jim Phillips bullish on league's future amid chaos surrounding college athletics
- Man mauled to death by 'several dogs' in New York, prompting investigation: Police
Recommendation
A White House order claims to end 'censorship.' What does that mean?
MoneyGram announces hack: Customer data such as Social Security numbers, bank accounts impacted
Anderson Cooper hit by debris during CNN's live Hurricane Milton coverage
49ers run over Seahawks on 'Thursday Night Football': Highlights
Selena Gomez's "Weird Uncles" Steve Martin and Martin Short React to Her Engagement
Tori Spelling Shares Update on Dean McDermott Relationship Amid Divorce
Texas lawmakers signal openness to expanding film incentive program
Condemned inmate Richard Moore wants someone other than South Carolina’s governor to decide clemency